Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.707953 1.949486 2.212928 2.521611 2.873438 3.262020 3.723883
2025-01-19 1.277090 1.591088 1.964252 2.440503 3.032477 3.744590 4.667212
2025-01-26 1.134998 1.502184 1.965177 2.592010 3.419245 4.474841 5.926513
2025-02-02 1.037575 1.443036 1.979722 2.742387 3.799570 5.215492 7.260388
2025-02-09 0.950255 1.379689 1.972557 2.851250 4.122347 5.897824 8.573400
2025-02-16 0.861744 1.300315 1.929061 2.896704 4.350995 6.460260 9.762334
2025-02-23 0.763063 1.192628 1.830030 2.845337 4.425457 6.797360 10.642212
2025-03-02 0.687660 1.110377 1.757937 2.822851 4.534652 7.187384 11.628598
2025-03-09 0.631143 1.050653 1.712750 2.834545 4.693171 7.660549 12.780994
2025-03-16 0.582099 0.997267 1.671194 2.845629 4.847815 8.135520 13.972881
2025-03-23 0.542053 0.954341 1.641690 2.871959 5.026945 8.661255 15.291226
2025-03-30 0.493413 0.891578 1.572469 2.822613 5.069696 8.956921 16.233803
2025-04-06 0.446702 0.828523 1.498345 2.760039 5.087490 9.217923 17.153421
2025-04-13 0.401408 0.763678 1.415194 2.673369 5.053717 9.384430 17.917786
2025-04-20 0.396545 0.773160 1.466914 2.839273 5.499749 10.457758 20.468640
2025-04-27 0.391256 0.781112 1.516054 3.004026 5.957303 11.589953 23.234199
2025-05-04 0.380250 0.776690 1.540926 3.123294 6.336145 12.602571 25.855446
2025-05-11 0.361896 0.755731 1.531534 3.173093 6.580280 13.371276 28.053781
2025-05-18 0.333691 0.711920 1.472743 3.116816 6.602751 13.698063 29.369876
2025-05-25 0.311308 0.678145 1.431223 3.092181 6.687683 14.156901 31.001103
2025-06-01 0.294456 0.654555 1.408570 3.104992 6.852039 14.792079 33.063755
2025-06-08 0.278866 0.632260 1.386646 3.117135 7.015311 15.436998 35.203048
2025-06-15 0.265869 0.614527 1.372955 3.145983 7.217415 16.181252 37.629081